https://www.businessinsider.com/iran-st ... ck-2024-10
This is the first possibility that I've seen where the current Iran-Israel missile exchange and proxy wars might boil over into a general middle eastern war.
Israel might be able to use something like the submarine launched cruise missiles to attack Iran's oil refineries, without crossing Gulf State air space at all. Frankly, after the ballistic missile strike on Israel, a cruise missile strike on the Kharg Island might be exactly in character for Israel. Or fighter jets in Syria and Iraq to launch missile to hit the refinery.
Iran could turn a blind eye to a refinery strike of course, but I'm not sure how their internal politics would allow that to happen. At the same time, if Iran wanted to do something to strike back, I'm not sure what they could do. Striking Saudi Arabian and Gulf State's oil infrastructure would probably spike the crude market price, likely make Russia happy, but upsetting China and India. Closing the strait of Hormuz would hurt Iran just as bad or worse than the Gulf countries, and leave Israel largely untouched. Many of Iran's proxies are in the middle of being liquidated, and if Israel was able to strike at Iran with impunity, few others would desire to sign up to replace the proxies. An invasion of Iraq is a truly terrible idea that's unlikely to help. What's left? I guess finish the nuclear bomb program? To do what? Threaten who?
This is the first possibility that I've seen where the current Iran-Israel missile exchange and proxy wars might boil over into a general middle eastern war.
Israel might be able to use something like the submarine launched cruise missiles to attack Iran's oil refineries, without crossing Gulf State air space at all. Frankly, after the ballistic missile strike on Israel, a cruise missile strike on the Kharg Island might be exactly in character for Israel. Or fighter jets in Syria and Iraq to launch missile to hit the refinery.
Iran could turn a blind eye to a refinery strike of course, but I'm not sure how their internal politics would allow that to happen. At the same time, if Iran wanted to do something to strike back, I'm not sure what they could do. Striking Saudi Arabian and Gulf State's oil infrastructure would probably spike the crude market price, likely make Russia happy, but upsetting China and India. Closing the strait of Hormuz would hurt Iran just as bad or worse than the Gulf countries, and leave Israel largely untouched. Many of Iran's proxies are in the middle of being liquidated, and if Israel was able to strike at Iran with impunity, few others would desire to sign up to replace the proxies. An invasion of Iraq is a truly terrible idea that's unlikely to help. What's left? I guess finish the nuclear bomb program? To do what? Threaten who?
statistics: Posted by Cody2 — 8:10 PM - 2 days ago — Replies 1 — Views 56