I happened to catch part of Charlie Kirk's podcast last night on the local FM talk radio station (on the way home from choir practice), & they happened to mention the Senate race in AZ between Kari Lake & Ruben Gallego. I found it strange that they said Gallego (D) had a margin (albeit slim) over Lake (R), given that Trump is currently predicted to win AZ. Because you don't generally see that kind of disconnect, particularly in elections where the partisanship is at extremely high levels (such as this election cycle). Note, for example, that this is one of the reasons why conservatives still suspect foul play in the 2020 election: too many states elected Republicans to Senate or House seats in states that supposedly picked Biden for POTUS, when Biden was espousing the same political positions that the Democrat Senate & House candidates were pushing. If you didn't agree with a party candidate's views for the Senate or House, why would you vote for those views in the President?
Well, it's looking awfully similar to that right now.
Well, it's looking awfully similar to that right now.
- Total votes for President in AZ: 2,641,033 (1,385,868 for Trump, 1,230,651 for Harris, & the remaining 24,514 for 2 independent candidates), with 76.06% of the vote in
- Total votes for Senator in AZ: 2,612,440 (1,301,340 for Gallego, 1,257,504 for Lake, the rest for Quintana), with 76.05% of the vote in
- I would assume that when they count the votes, they count all of the votes on a particular ballot. So how is it that 1% of the people (28,593 ballots) that voted for a Presidential candidate did NOT vote for a Senate candidate? I know, if you look at most of the other states, you tend to see that as well. But when you combine it with the rest...
- Most of the time, if there's a challenger that belongs to the winning POTUS candidate, & they lose the election, it's because they don't have a lot of brand awareness among voters, particularly against an incumbent candidate. But Kari Lake is pretty well-known, given the fallout over her gubernatorial bid in AZ & her very visible campaigning on behalf of Trump. And Gallego was not an incumbent; his current position is a member of the US House, not the US Senate. And while certainly a career politician (8 years in the House, 4 years as a state legislator), I would daresay that Kari Lake's career as a news anchor, combined with the publicity over her 2022 bid for governor, has put her more in the spotlight than Gallego. Hell, I had to look up who he was on Wikipedia, as I'd never heard of him before.
- It was mentioned that there was a recent "ballot dump" in AZ -- I think they said Maricopa County (of course) -- that "suddenly" flipped the lead to Gallego from Lake. Again, sounds very fishy.
statistics: Posted by Whipped4073 — 12:46 PM - 1 day ago — Replies 7 — Views 139