Liberal Columnist: Democratic Party’s Strategy Relying on Young Voters ‘Now in Ruins’
Recent polls have suggested a substantial shift in young minority Americans’ political leanings. This is a demographic historically aligned with the Democratic Party. Losing these votes could have serious consequences, and not just for the 2024 presidential election.
Data from various polls, including Fox News, indicate a trend where former President Trump is gaining popularity over President Biden among voters under 30. In December, their poll showed 41% under 30s would vote for Trump, compared to 28% for Biden. This trend is particularly significant given the historical support of these voters to the Democratic Party.
One Liberal columnist, Jonathan Chait, suggested that the Democratic Party’s focus on mobilizing young minority voters may have been a mistake. He said, “The progressive movement made a giant bet on mobilizing young voters. That strategy, invested with buoyant hopes and vast sums of money, is now in ruins.
Many political analysts are questioning the long-held belief that race would be a decisive factor in political allegiance. Chait pointed out that Black Democrats and Hispanics often hold more moderate views than White Liberals on issues like immigration, the environment, crime, and abortion. He said, “This shift has flipped the traditional assumptions about voter turnout upside-down.”
Instead, Chait argued that education level, rather than race, may be a more significant factor in dividing the Democratic Party. He argued, “Democrats have gained college-educated White voters and lost nonwhite voters who lack college degrees.” This perspective offers a different lens to view voter demographics.
There is an apparent disconnect between how progressive activists and the media view young voters’ political stances and their actual views. Chait said, “The danger is not that young voters, massively demoralized by Biden, will merely sit on their hands in 2024. It’s that they will actually vote for Republicans.”
Chait identified an ironic trend where Democrats seem to perform better in elections with lower voter turnout. This phenomenon was seen in the 2022 midterm elections. He said, “It would be a delicious irony if the GOP’s relentless enforcement of voter-suppression laws ultimately does Trump in.”
The U.S. is undergoing other demographic changes that will impact politics. Studies from the Pew Research Center have shown that the race and ethnicity of the U.S. electorate are evolving. Nonwhite eligible voters represent a significant portion of the electorate’s growth since 2000. These changes are transforming U.S. elections, influencing voting patterns, and shaping the political landscape.
Additionally, Brookings has identified that these younger generations will form the majority of the electorate by 2028. They have predicted these voters’ early partisan preferences will persist over their lifespans. Whichever party they support, this base will form a future electoral advantage for them.
Despite the general increase in youth voter turnout, Black youth and young people are not as well represented in the electorate, particularly those without college experience. In the 2022 midterms, Black youth participated at a lower rate than other ethnic groups. Young people without college experience were largely underrepresented among voters.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/liberal-columnist-democratic-party-s-strategy-relying-on-young-voters-now-in-ruins/ss-AA1mRJHP?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=LCTS&cvid=06057e1535484507b3e2186b2571d9be&ei=107#image=11
Basically, the longer a child is indoctrinated through the education system the better chance there is they will vote liberal. The more real life experience a young voter has - the more likely they are to vote Republican. What is amazing is how democrats' efforts to drag young voters to polls may have backfired because once they get there, they are more likely to vote Republican than they are democrat.
The funny thing that Jonathan Chait claims the Republicans are engaging in voter suppression through the most basic forms of election security - the one democrats claim is the most controversial is to present photo ID to register to vote and to actually vote. While democrats equate this with "poll tax" and "Jim Crow" most young voters are so used to having to present ID to do ANYTHING (buy a movie ticket, get into a courthouse, buy a beer) they struggle to understand what the big issue is - and are further confused because they don't know what a poll tax is or who Jim Crow was....
The "voter supression" that was screamed about in Georgia actually resulted in higher voter turnout and the typical results - incumbents retained their seats although Hershal Walker did give Warnock a scare - but a full court national media attack on Walker beat back that challenge.
Recent polls have suggested a substantial shift in young minority Americans’ political leanings. This is a demographic historically aligned with the Democratic Party. Losing these votes could have serious consequences, and not just for the 2024 presidential election.
Data from various polls, including Fox News, indicate a trend where former President Trump is gaining popularity over President Biden among voters under 30. In December, their poll showed 41% under 30s would vote for Trump, compared to 28% for Biden. This trend is particularly significant given the historical support of these voters to the Democratic Party.
One Liberal columnist, Jonathan Chait, suggested that the Democratic Party’s focus on mobilizing young minority voters may have been a mistake. He said, “The progressive movement made a giant bet on mobilizing young voters. That strategy, invested with buoyant hopes and vast sums of money, is now in ruins.
Many political analysts are questioning the long-held belief that race would be a decisive factor in political allegiance. Chait pointed out that Black Democrats and Hispanics often hold more moderate views than White Liberals on issues like immigration, the environment, crime, and abortion. He said, “This shift has flipped the traditional assumptions about voter turnout upside-down.”
Instead, Chait argued that education level, rather than race, may be a more significant factor in dividing the Democratic Party. He argued, “Democrats have gained college-educated White voters and lost nonwhite voters who lack college degrees.” This perspective offers a different lens to view voter demographics.
There is an apparent disconnect between how progressive activists and the media view young voters’ political stances and their actual views. Chait said, “The danger is not that young voters, massively demoralized by Biden, will merely sit on their hands in 2024. It’s that they will actually vote for Republicans.”
Chait identified an ironic trend where Democrats seem to perform better in elections with lower voter turnout. This phenomenon was seen in the 2022 midterm elections. He said, “It would be a delicious irony if the GOP’s relentless enforcement of voter-suppression laws ultimately does Trump in.”
The U.S. is undergoing other demographic changes that will impact politics. Studies from the Pew Research Center have shown that the race and ethnicity of the U.S. electorate are evolving. Nonwhite eligible voters represent a significant portion of the electorate’s growth since 2000. These changes are transforming U.S. elections, influencing voting patterns, and shaping the political landscape.
Additionally, Brookings has identified that these younger generations will form the majority of the electorate by 2028. They have predicted these voters’ early partisan preferences will persist over their lifespans. Whichever party they support, this base will form a future electoral advantage for them.
Despite the general increase in youth voter turnout, Black youth and young people are not as well represented in the electorate, particularly those without college experience. In the 2022 midterms, Black youth participated at a lower rate than other ethnic groups. Young people without college experience were largely underrepresented among voters.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/liberal-columnist-democratic-party-s-strategy-relying-on-young-voters-now-in-ruins/ss-AA1mRJHP?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=LCTS&cvid=06057e1535484507b3e2186b2571d9be&ei=107#image=11
Basically, the longer a child is indoctrinated through the education system the better chance there is they will vote liberal. The more real life experience a young voter has - the more likely they are to vote Republican. What is amazing is how democrats' efforts to drag young voters to polls may have backfired because once they get there, they are more likely to vote Republican than they are democrat.
The funny thing that Jonathan Chait claims the Republicans are engaging in voter suppression through the most basic forms of election security - the one democrats claim is the most controversial is to present photo ID to register to vote and to actually vote. While democrats equate this with "poll tax" and "Jim Crow" most young voters are so used to having to present ID to do ANYTHING (buy a movie ticket, get into a courthouse, buy a beer) they struggle to understand what the big issue is - and are further confused because they don't know what a poll tax is or who Jim Crow was....
The "voter supression" that was screamed about in Georgia actually resulted in higher voter turnout and the typical results - incumbents retained their seats although Hershal Walker did give Warnock a scare - but a full court national media attack on Walker beat back that challenge.
statistics: Posted by Hockeygoon — 5:11 PM - Today — Replies 0 — Views 37